Here’s another reason why it won’t be so very different. If Jean-Claude Juncker does become the next president of the European Commission, it will be good news for those already in the administration who have Luxembourgish connections, although they are not Luxembourgers.

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Step forward (oh, they already have) Johannes Laitenberger and Martin Selmayr. Laitenberger is a German lawyer with Christian Democrat
connections. He joined the private office of Viviane Reding, Luxembourg’s European commissioner, in 1999 and became the head of that
office in 2003. In 2004, he joined José Manuel Barroso’s private office – he had spent part of his youth in Portugal and speaks the language – soon
becoming his spokesman and then head of his private office.

Selmayr is another German lawyer with Christian Democrat connections. He has been head of Reding’s private office, taking leave from that post to head Juncker’s campaign for the presidency of the Commission.

If asked, their advice to Angela Merkel’s camp to swing behind a Juncker appointment would not have been entirely dispassionate.