MIAMI, FL — Residents along the coast of the southeast United States have just gotten over the stress and mess of Hurricane Dorian — which was a powerful Category 5 storm that devastated the Bahamas before it skirted Florida, went up the East Coast and zoomed pass Canada — and now the National Hurricane Center in Miami is watching four weather systems in the Atlantic. On Monday the experts said at least one storm system appears to be making its way toward the Sunshine State.
Dubbed Disturbance 2, that system had a 20 percent chance of forming into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours and a 30 percent chance in the next five days, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Meteorologist Larry Kelly with the National Weather Service in Miami told Patch the system was east of the Bahamas and north of Puerto Rico on Monday afternoon. He said the disturbance is likely to bring increased rain, shower and thunderstorm chances to South Florida by the end of the week regardless of whether it forms into a tropical cyclone.
“It’s a pretty weak area of low pressure with disorganized showers and thunderstorms,” Kelly said. “Right now it has a low chance of formation — 20 percent in the next 48 hours and 30 percent in the next five days.”
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Early to mid-September is the typical peak of the hurricane season, which runs through Nov. 30, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
See also Hurricane Dorian Florida: How State Agencies Responded To Threat
The National Hurricane Center was also keeping an eye on Tropical Storm Gabrielle over the north-central Atlantic Ocean as of Monday. Gabrielle was located midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Windward Islands, weather officials said.
“Gabrielle is out over the open Atlantic,” Kelly explained. “It’s continuing to move north and out of the area so no concern with Gabrielle.”
The third system is referred to as Disturbance 1 and was described as a weak area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave. It was located midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Windward Islands on Monday.
“It’s pretty disorganized as well,” Kelly said.
Disturbance 3 was located off the western coast of Africa. It was expected to move quickly westward over the next several days.
“Some slow development is possible late this week or over the weekend when the system is several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles,” the National Hurricane Center said on Monday.
It had a 20 percent chance of formation over the next five days and a zero percent chance over the next 48 hours.
Earlier this month, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said that weather researchers now believe there will be more hurricanes in 2019 than previously expected.
The updated hurricane season outlook calls for 10 to 17 named storms, of which five to nine are expected to become hurricanes. Two to four of those could become major hurricanes, according to NOAA.